Outright Military Victory by Rebels? Ukraine Offensive in Donetsk and Lugansk Fails

Outright Military Victory by Rebels? Militarily, if the rebel site maps and discussion are correct, the war may conclude with outright military victory by the rebels. Whether or not you believe these maps or such talk, please note the mainstream media silence on the civil war in the last two weeks. At best, one can safely assume Kiev has nothing good to report. Ukraine Offensive in Donetsk and Lugansk FailsRebel sites now proclaim Ukraine offensive in Donetsk and Lugansk have failed. Let’s take a look at a translated map of major military operations August 10-25, 2014. The map source is Colonel Casad. Translation by Kot Ivanov and Anthony Hartin on SLAVYANGRAD.org.

This post was published at Global Economic Analysis on August 26, 2014.

Ukraine Releases Video Of Captured Russian Troops; They “Entered Accidentally” Russia Claims As Putin-Poroshenko Meeting Begins

Moments ago, Russian president Vladimir Putin arrived in Minsk, Belarus where upon the initiative of Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko a summit between the Customs Union (Russia, Belarus and Kazakhstan) and Ukraine will be held on Tuesday. As Interfax adds, the meeting will also be attended by three European commissioners – EU High Representative for Foreign Affairs and Security Policy Catherine Ashton, Trade Commissioner Karel De Gucht and European Commission Vice President, Energy Commissioner Gunther Oettinger.
Amusingly, Putin’s arrival did not proceed without incident…
This will be second meeting in the past three months between Putin and Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko organized with the mediation of a president a third country. However, official confirmation that a separate meeting between Putin and Poroshenko will take place does not yet exist.
As noted earlier, the main reason for the recent ramp in futures is because someone activated the de-escalation algo sending futs promptly from overnight lows to highs, on hopes there will be some resolution of Ukraine’s proxy civil war, and maybe a detente between Russia and Europe, where the latter is now on the verge of a triple-dip recession due to “costs” against Russia.

This post was published at Zero Hedge on 08/26/2014.

Ukraine’s Poroshenko “Optimistic” Over EU Deal, Putin Warns Of Consequences

When two of the richest presidents in the world currently met this morning in Minsk, the tensions was palpable. As Poroshenko (net worth ~$1.3 bn) and Putin (~$440bn) prepared for talks, the threats, promises, and hopes were everywhere…
*POROSHENKO SAYS ‘OPTIMISTIC’ ABOUT TODAY’S MEETINGS IN MINSK, INTERESTED IN EU, CUSTOMS UNION AGREEMENTS But Vladimir Putin – having reminded everyone that Russian capital represents 32% of the Ukraine banking system (threat or statement?) warned any EU association pact may force Russia to scrap trade preferences.

This post was published at Zero Hedge on 08/26/2014.

Rebels Claim Liberation of Mariupol Imminent: War Zone Map Update August 13 vs. August 24

A lot has happened since Western media reported on August that rebels in Donetsk were surrounded. Here is the map of major military operations from my August 13 post Multi-Pronged Attack on Donetsk Rebels Likely Within Days.

Legend
Blue jets inside red circles are locations where Ukrainian military planes are confirmed to have crashed after being shot down. (This is only for the period of the map, August 1-10. Blue jets shooting into blue circles are locations of Ukrainian air raids, again just for the period August 1-10. Blue circles with “X” inside them are Ukrainian artillery strikes. Red circles with “X” inside them are rebel artillery strikes. Red lines with arrows are rebel advances Blue lines with arrows are Ukrainian advances Solid red lines (no arrow tips) are rebel defense lines Current Map of Military Operations…

This post was published at Global Economic Analysis on August 25, 2014